Unfortunately for Pletcher neither of the horses looks like a serious threat in Kentucky Derby wagering. Let’s take a look at Pletcher’s history in the Derby and at his two contenders for this year’s race.
Kentucky Derby odds will show that Pletcher’s two horses, Monba and Cowboy Cal will be listed at double-digit Kentucky Derby odds. The two horses finished first and second in the Blue Grass Stakes but neither really has impressed Kentucky Derby odds experts. Pletcher has finished second twice in Kentucky Derby odds history with Invisible Ink in 2001 and Bluegrass Cat in 2006. He had a third place finish in Kentucky Derby odds with Impeachment in 2000 and he finished fourth in Kentucky Derby odds with More Than Ready in 2000 and Limehouse in 2004. Last year he had five horses in the Kentucky Derby wagering field and none of them came close to finishing in the money. Pletcher finally broke through and won a Triple Crown race last year as the filly Rags to Riches won the Preakness. Pletcher has been the top trainer in the country the past four years but Kentucky Derby wagering just hasn’t gone his way.
Monba won the Blue Grass Stakes but there are a number of negatives regarding the horse in Kentucky Derby wagering starting with the jockey, Edgar Prado choosing to ride Adriano instead. If a jockey doesn’t like the chances of a horse then it is unlikely he will win in Kentucky Derby odds. Cowboy Cal has jockey John Velazquez who has had no success in Kentucky Derby odds history. It also doesn’t help that neither Monba nor Cowboy Cal has ever had a speed rating of 100 or more and that makes their chances of winning in Kentucky Derby odds remote.
Eventually Todd Pletcher will break his string of losing in Kentucky Derby odds but his two horses in the 2008 Kentucky Derby don’t look to be the ones to do it.