Betting Horse Racing Longshot - Picking Longshot Horses
What is a good system for horse racing betting? A betting system for horse racing is something you use that tells you how to bet on horses so that you can win money at horse wagering. A horse racing betting system usually involves looking at a number of factors to find the horse that is most likely to win. The problem with finding that horse is that it he may not be the horse with the best value and beating horseracing by picking favorites is not going to happen. Picking longshots is a better way to win money at horse betting. How do you find a reliable horse racing betting system then? Horse racing betting systems can be a dime a dozen.
For example, you may have horse betting systems that focus on trainer-jockey combinations while others really focus on specific factors like pace or speed while others look at longshot bets. The problem is that none of them are infallible and make you money every time. If they made people money every single time then people would always win at horse racing betting and that is not the case even with longshot handicappers. A betting system for horse racing may not be the way to make the most money in horse racing but many people continue to look for the magical answer including longshot handicappers.
The problem is that the track/house edge is so high that any system is going to be tough to win with in the long run but betting longshot horses gives you a chance. There are so many betting systems for horse racing out there and none will work enough to overcome the long term track take out so that means looking at exotics and longshots in horse racing betting. Picking longshots is not always easy but these bets are what pay the most and long shots in horseracing make for exciting payoffs for those handicappers willing to pick longshots.
Sometimes the best racehorse to bet against at a racetrack is the favorite. That may sound strange since we know that favorites win about a third of the time, but if you want to make money at horse racing betting then you can’t be betting favorites every race, you need to pick some longshots. Usually a racehorse is the favorite because the public has put money behind this horse at the racetrack and ignored the racing longshots. How many times do you think the public ends the year in the black in horse racing betting? If you answered none you are right. The public doesn’t win in the long term when it comes to horse betting but longshot handicappers have a chance. If you see a favorite getting bet too much by the public then chances are the racehorse is bet beyond its value and is a good go-against horse and there are live racing longshots.
Horse racing favorites are priced too low. That is why they can win about a third of the time and still you don’t make any money by betting them. How do we know when favorites are weak? One way is to look at a horse’s past performances in the Daily Racing Form. Most favorites lose when you find wagering factors going against them. Taking the time to separate strong contenders from weak favorites by looking at past performances will give you the chance to make a profit in horse wagering.
If you are looking to differentiate between a good favorite and a weak favorite then you need to do a few basic things when considering longshot bets, even in big races like the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, Belmont Stakes and Breeders Cup. You must look at a horse first in terms of class. Does the horse have the potential to seriously compete in the class of today's horserace? Has the horse proven ability on today’s racetrack or a similar one? Does the horse have good form in the past few races according to past performances? Can the horse run at this distance? Can the horse handle today’s racetrack conditions? Does the horse have a good trainer and jockey? You would be surprised at how many losing favorites have a weak jockey or trainer and how many racing longshots have solid jockeys and trainers. If you can find that a favorite does not do well on some of these questions then you should seriously look at betting against the horse and look at picking longshots. The price of the horse also is a factor when considering longshot bets. If you see a favorite that is at low race odds and has any question marks then you know it could be a vulnerable horse and racing longshots could be worth a look.
Going against horse racing favorites is often a good way to go in horse betting. These favorites are oftentimes bet by the public far more than they should be. Take the time to analyze the horse race and look for weak favorites and spots to go against those horses in long shots horseracing. If you find they are weak then you have a long shots horserace that could be worth playing. You may want to put that longshot horse into exacta, trifecta, superfecta Pick 3 or even Pick 6 tickets.