The Churchill Track Will Impact Breeders Cup Odds

It has been four years since we had Breeders Cup odds at the Churchill Downs race track.

Will this year’s Breeders Cup produce as many longs shots in online gambling as there were in 2006?  The condition of the track may provide us a clue.

Long shots last Time
In 2006 there were only eight races and it was almost all longs shots.  The only favorite that won was Quija Board at odds of 3-2. What were the prices of the other winners you ask?  It was Street Sense 15-1, Thor’s Echo 15-1, Miesque’ Approval 24-1, Round Pond 13-1, Red Rocks 10-1 and Invasor at 6-1. We could see similar results this time around at Churchill.

Different Track Conditions
There will be over 100 horses in the Breeders Cup and they are coming from all over the world. The goal for Churchill is to make the track as fair as possible. Some of these horses have never run on dirt so the condition of the track is critical. The concern is running races in Kentucky this late in the year when the weather is cold.  There is not much doubt that the temperatures in the morning will be below freezing so that can affect the track later in the day. The bigger concern would be if the track had rain on top of the freezing temperatures. Then the track would be very hard and unfair.  The weather forecast for Friday and Saturday is favorable so it is hoped the track will not have any problems. The key will be to keep moisture in the track so it does not get what is called “cuppy.”  When you look at the online gambling odds there is not much you can do about the track condition but you may want to give long shots a serious look at Sbg global based on past history.

Friday’s Breeders Cup Odds
$500,000 Breeders Cup Marathon
$1 Million Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
$1 Million Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Sprint
$2 Million Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies
$2 Million Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Turf
$2 Million Breeders Cup Ladies Classic
Saturday’s Breeders Cup Odds
$1 Million Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf
$1 Million Breeders Cup Dirt Mile
$1 Million Breeders Cup Turf Sprint
$2 Million Breeders Cup Juvenile
$2 Million Breeders Cup Mile
$2 Million Breeders Cup Sprint
$3 Million Breeders Cup Turf
$5 Million Breeders Cup Classic