Let’s look at some recent sports betting history of Belmont odds and the upsets. Belmont Stakes odds saw Da’ Tara win in 2008 at Belmont odds of 38-1. Two years ago it was Rags to Riches upsetting Curlin in Belmont Stakes odds. Jazil was another upset winner in Belmont Stakes odds as he won in 2006. A rare favorite won in Belmont Stakes odds in 2005 as Afleet Alex hit the winner’s circle.
In 2004 it was another huge longshot winning in sports betting as Birdtone ruined Smarty Jones’ Triple Crown chances. That upset was definitely one of the biggest since most people believed that Smarty Jones would win the Triple Crown in 2004. In 2003 it was Empire Maker winning in a slight upset against Funny Cide in Belmont odds.
The biggest upset ever in Belmont Stakes odds was Sarava winning at odds of 70-1 in 2002. A favorite won in 2001 as Point Given didn’t have much trouble in the Belmont. If not for a troubled trip in the Derby the Triple Crown drought would have ended in 2001. In 2000 it was Commendable winning in Belmont Stakes odds while Lemon Drop Kid won in 1999. Victory Gallop was an upset winner in 1998 as he defeated Real Quiet. Horses going for the Triple Crown in the Belmont have been official busts in the past three decades. No horse has won the Triple Crown since Affirmed in 1978.
While it is very true that underdogs have been the way to go in Belmont odds that has not always been the case. In the early years of this race the favorite was almost money in the bank, winning more than 50% of the time. Nowadays the underdogs have been money at the sportsbook as the favorites have rarely won in Belmont Stakes odds.
As you look at betting the Belmont this year at the sportsbook you may want to give the longshots some serious attention. Mine That Bird will be one of the favorites but recent history has shown his chances of winning are really not that good, even though his sire, Birdstone did win this race. Newcomers to the race including Charitable Man could be a better way to go in this year’s race.
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