None of those horses succeeded in Belmont Stakes odds. Why has no horse succeeded in pulling off the Triple Crown since 1978? Could it be that form is very important in Belmont betting?
Belmont betting has seen favorites do very well in history overall, but not in recent history. In 1997 it was Silver Charm losing to Touch Gold as the Belmont betting favorite. The following year it was Victory Gallop upsetting Real Quiet in Belmont betting. The following year it was Lemon Drop Kid ruining the chances of Charismatic in Belmont Stakes odds. A huge Belmont betting underdog came through in 2002 as Sarava won at odds of 70-1. Empire Maker upset Funny Cide in 2003 Belmont betting. Birdstone ruined Smarty Jones’ Triple Crown hopes in 2004 Belmont betting. Why did all of these horses fail in Belmont betting? The problem for most of these horses is that they were simply worn out. It is tough to run three races in five weeks for any horse. In the Belmont the fresher horses sometimes have an advantage even if they don’t have the talent edge.
A horse that is fresh can sometimes overcome the talent edge in Belmont betting because the race is so long. In 2007 when the Filly Rags to Riches upset Curlin it was probably because of rest. Curlin was definitely the better horse but running three races in five weeks was tasking. Rested form can definitely be an important factor to consider when you are betting the Belmont Stakes. This factor can lead you to look at possible upsets in Belmont Stakes odds. Since 1976 the favorite has only won a total of 9 times. Early Belmont Stakes odds history shows that the favorite used to win a lot more than that. In fact, in the early 1900’s the favorite won 19 times in a 32 year period. That has not been the case in recent Belmont betting history though.