With the games being very high scoring in Arena Football betting, there are more chances for underdogs to come back and get the late cover. What things should you look for when considering favorites in Arena Football betting lines?
Arena Football betting is just like other forms of sports betting. You first have to decide whether or not the correct team is favored. Can the favorite beat the team that they are up against? Often times the Arena Football betting lines are set on public perception more than actual merits and reality and it is therefore important to get back to the basics when analyzing the chalk and its abilities.
If you have determined that the correct team is favored, the next thing to figure out in Arena Football betting is whether or not the price is fair. Before the Arena Football betting lines come out a gambler should set his own line for each game on the board to determine what he believes to be the fair line and then compare that to the actual Arena Football betting lines set by the oddsmakers. If the Arena Football betting number is far higher, it wouldn’t make sense to wager on the chalk. If the number is similar or lower, however, the favorite may have some merit in Arena Football betting.
Next you should determine what exactly made the Arena Football betting number for this game what it is. Is the number posted by the Arena Football betting oddsmakers based on merit or reputation? Is the number based on the chalk being at home and therefore having more mass appeal? The next thing to do is analyze the prior two or three games for each team involved in the Arena Football betting matchup. One game isn’t enough and, further, many gamblers have a tendency to overreact to the last result of a particular team, particularly if it was unusually dramatic or extreme.
The next thing to consider is the “word” out on the “street” and at Internet gambling chat rooms. What are your sharper gamblers saying compared to the mainstream gamblers? How do they perceive the Arena Football betting odds on the game? What you want to avoid is jumping on a chalk that the masses are also on, as that’s not the side that the sportsbook will be on.
Asking the tough questions is part of correctly assessing the value of a favorite in Arena Football betting.